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Short-term Forecasting of Total Solar Irradiance from Solar Disk Images: A Hybrid Unsupervised Deep Learning Approach

  • Authors: Idowu Raji, Rafael Duarte Coelho dos Santos, Luis Eduardo Antunes Vieira, Alejandro C. Frery, Franciele Carlesso, Adriany Rodrigues Barbosa

Idowu Raji et al 2026 The Astrophysical Journal Supplement Series 286 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 6.

End-to-end SOM–AE–LSTM pipeline. Solar disk observations (continuum image, unsigned magnetogram, and μ map) are clustered pixel-wise by the SOM into a 400-node cluster-index map, compressed by the convolutional AE into a 32-dimensional feature vector zt via global-average pooling, concatenated with the contemporaneous TSI measurement, and processed by the LSTM to produce multihorizon TSI forecasts. Training proceeds sequentially through the three stages; all parameters are estimated from training-period data only.

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