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Learning and Predicting the Nonlinear Variability of X-Ray Binaries with the Koopman Operator

  • Authors: Eric Miao, Ruo-Yu Shang, Kaya Mori, Reshmi Mukherjee

Eric Miao et al 2026 The Astrophysical Journal Supplement Series 286 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure D2.

Long-term predictions of 4U 1705-44 flux at 10 transition midpoints (MJD 54000–56200). Each panel shows past data (black curve) ending at the blue vertical line, with predictions extending into the future. Red solid curves show nominal predictions; red dashed curves show alternative predictions generated by varying the last flux point, indicating forecast uncertainty. The spread of alternative predictions reflects confidence in the forecast.

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