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No Model-independent Evidence for a Peak in Binary Black Hole Spin (Mis)alignments

  • Authors: Noah E. Wolfe, Salvatore Vitale, Michael Zevin

Noah E. Wolfe et al 2026 The Astrophysical Journal Letters 1007 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure C2.

Marginal posteriors on the branching ratio ξ between truncated Gaussian and isotropic spin tilt distributions (below the transition mass), as well as the location (﹩{\mu }_{1}\,\mathrm{and}\,{\mu }_{1}^{\,{\rm{Iso}}\,}﹩) and scale (﹩{\sigma }_{1}\,\mathrm{and}\,{\sigma }_{1}^{\,{\rm{Iso}}\,}﹩) of the first peak in the primary mass distributions, under a variation of the SUBPOPULATIONS model where the truncated Gaussian vs. isotropic tilt distributions each have their own mass distribution (see Appendix C.3). We also show the log-likelihood estimator ﹩\mathrm{ln}\hat{{ \mathcal L }}﹩ and the variance ﹩{ \mathcal V }﹩ of that estimator. Log likelihoods are shown relative to the maximum likelihood.

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