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No Model-independent Evidence for a Peak in Binary Black Hole Spin (Mis)alignments

  • Authors: Noah E. Wolfe, Salvatore Vitale, Michael Zevin

Noah E. Wolfe et al 2026 The Astrophysical Journal Letters 1007 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 1.

PPDs of the marginal density (top) and differential merger rate (bottom) of sources as a function of spin tilt τ under the SUBPOPULATIONS model (left) and CORRELATION model (right). Dashed lines enclose the 90% credible region and transparent lines are 103 random draws from the posterior. Since component tilts are not identically distributed in the CORRELATION model, we show the 90% credible bounds for both the primary (blue) and secondary (orange). In the top row, we include insets with the posterior on the marginal population density near ﹩\cos \tau \sim 0﹩. We show the 90% credible bounds of the prior population distributions with gray dotted lines; insets are reproduced with priors in Figure 10.

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