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JWST Transmission Spectroscopy of TOI-3235 b: Challenges in Constraining Giant Planet Atmospheres around M Dwarfs amid Stellar Contamination

  • Authors: Zoe Ko, Néstor Espinoza, Andrés Jordán, Daniel Bayliss, Edward M. Bryant, Martin Schlecker, Melissa J. Hobson, Rafael Brahm, Remo Burn, Thomas Henning

Zoe Ko et al 2026 The Astronomical Journal 172 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 9.

Emission retrieval performance across a grid of injected atmospheric metallicities and cloud-top pressures. The left panel shows W68, the width of the central 68% credible interval of the retrieved metallicity posterior, indicating metallicity precision. The right panel shows Pcorrect, the posterior probability of correctly classifying the atmosphere as subsolar or supersolar. Deeper cloud decks (higher ﹩\mathrm{log}{P}_{{\rm{cloud}}}﹩) allow for stronger molecular features, leading to narrower metallicity posteriors and higher classification accuracy. The white star marks the location corresponding to the atmosphere + SC retrieval prediction, which falls in a regime where emission spectroscopy would provide a confident metallicity constraint.

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