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Assessing the Vera Rubin Observatory’s Ability to Discover Asteroid Impactors before They Collide with Earth

  • Authors: Qifeng Cheng, Daniel Scolnic, Jacob A. Kurlander, Ian Chow, Maryann Benny Fernandes

Qifeng Cheng et al 2026 The Astronomical Journal 171 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 5.

Fraction of impactors discovered at least X before impact for four diameter bins (10–20 m, 20–50 m, 50–140 m, and >140 m), shown for an Argus-like survey. The y-axis lower limit is clipped at 10−3 (0.1%) to avoid unnecessary blank space. Several size–time combinations fall at or below this level, indicating discovery fractions consistent with close to zero at the resolution of this plot.

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