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On the Exoplanet Yield of Gaia Astrometry

  • Authors: Caleb Lammers, Joshua N. Winn

Caleb Lammers and Joshua N. Winn 2026 The Astronomical Journal 171 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 8.

The number of planet detections predicted by our semianalytic model as a function of the detection threshold, Nσ, defined as the astrometric signal amplitude (Equation (1)) divided by σfov, the per-point measurement uncertainty (Equation (7)). The number of detections scales approximately as ﹩{N}_{\sigma }^{-2}﹩. The more statistically rigorous criterion Δχ2 > 50 corresponds to Nσ ≳ 1.5 for DR4 and Nσ ≳ 1 for DR5. To measure planet masses with 20% precision for 90% of systems requires Nσ ≳ 4 for DR4 and Nσ ≳ 2.5 for DR5 (see Section 3.2).

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