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PROSERPINA: An Automated Pipeline for Martian Ionospheric Radio-occultation Retrievals with Probabilistic Uncertainty and Spherical-symmetry Bias Quantification

  • Authors: Marianna Felici, Yu-Ming (Oscar) Yang, Luke Moore, Jennifer Segale, Joshua Semeter, Prakash Ishwar, Paul Withers, Kamal Oudrhiri

Marianna Felici et al 2026 The Planetary Science Journal 7 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure A1.

Decomposition of the total per-altitude uncertainty into its three physical components, for the 20 profiles in Figure 6: the thermal noise floor σne,thermal (dashed gray, scalar; Equation (5)), the baseline-slope contribution σne,slope(z) (orange; Equation (4)), the FIDES spherical-symmetry contribution ﹩{\sigma }_{{\rm{ne}},{\rm{FIDES}}}(z)=\sqrt{{\rm{\max }}(0,\,{\sigma }_{{\rm{total}}}^{2}(z)-{\sigma }_{{\rm{ne}},{\rm{thermal}}}^{2}-{\sigma }_{{\rm{ne}},{\rm{slope}}}^{2}(z))}﹩ (purple), and the resulting σtotal(z) (black). This figure quantifies how the FIDES-derived model uncertainty compares with the measurement-only uncertainty across SZA: near the high SZA dayside M2 peak the FIDES contribution dominates, whereas on the nightside the slope and thermal terms dominate.

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