Image Details
Caption: Figure 12.
Comparison of several probability distributions for the radius using our model with three uniform-temperature circular spots plus a modulated power law: the prior (dotted black line), the posterior after the completed pocomc run (green dashed line), the first 10% of the follow-up emcee run (red dotted–dashed line), and the final 10% of the follow-up emcee run (solid black line). The vertical axis is linear in the probability density. The colored tick marks rising from the radius axis near Re = 14 km show the medians of each of the probability distributions: 13.89 km for the pocomc run, 14.11 km for the first 10% of the emcee run, and 14.15 km for the last 10% of the emcee run. This figure reinforces the points made in Section 3.8.2: the pocomc sampling is broadly consistent with the later emcee sampling, although slightly narrower (see also J. U. Lange 2023), and the emcee run is well converged.
© 2026. The Author(s). Published by the American Astronomical Society.