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Improving Generalization and Uncertainty Quantification of Photometric Redshift Models

  • Authors: Jonathan Soriano, Tuan Do, Srinath Saikrishnan, Vikram Seenivasan, Bernie Boscoe, Jack Singal, Evan Jones

Jonathan Soriano et al 2026 The Astronomical Journal 171 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 8.

Probabilistic calibration assessment of GalaxiesML (top) and TransferZ (bottom) predicted pdfs by deterministic NNs after creating prediction intervals using split conformal prediction. The probability integral transform (PIT) is a qualitative assessment of pdfs, with good calibration indicated by a uniform distribution of U[0, 1]. The GalaxiesML PIT distributions are center-peaked, indicating overdispersed pdfs, while the PIT distributions are U-shaped, indicating underdispersed pdfs. The presence of peaks at the edges indicates the presence of outliers.

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