Image Details
Caption: Figure A1.
Predicted local rate of GW190814-like mergers, RGW190814 = fm RLGRB (Equation (A1) with ϵfragϵLGRB = 1), for fm = 0.01, 0.05, and 0.10 (top three rows), compared with the measured LVK rate for GW190814 (bottom). The shaded band marks the measured 90% interval (1–23 Gpc−3 yr−1) and the dashed line its median (7 Gpc−3 yr−1; R. Abbott et al. 2020); predicted rates use ﹩{R}_{{\rm{LGRB}}}=7{9}_{-33}^{+57}\,{{\rm{Gpc}}}^{-3}\,{{\rm{yr}}}^{-1}﹩ (G. Ghirlanda & R. Salvaterra 2022). The fm = 0.05 and fm = 0.10 cases overlap the measured posterior, while fm = 0.01 lies at the low-rate edge.
© 2026. The Author(s). Published by the American Astronomical Society.