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A Climate-constrained Bayesian Inverse Method for JWST Rocky Exoplanet Eclipse Spectra: Case Study of LTT 1445A b

  • Authors: Nicholas F. Wogan, Natasha E. Batalha, Jegug Ih, Jacob Lustig-Yaeger, Kevin B. Stevenson

Nicholas F. Wogan et al 2026 The Astrophysical Journal Letters 1007 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 3.

1D marginalized posterior distributions for key parameters in the atmospheric fit to the 16-bin MIRI LRS eclipse spectrum. The top-left panel shows the derived posterior on total surface pressure (solid black line), compared to implicit prior (dotted black line). The top-right panel shows pressure–temperature profiles sampled from the posterior. The climate-constrained inversion places a 95% upper limit of 0.6 bar on the surface pressure. If an atmosphere is present, a tenuous CO2 (or O2) dominated atmosphere is most probable.

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