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Discovery of a Nearby Habitable Zone Super-Earth Candidate Amenable to Direct Imaging

Authors: Corey Beard, Paul Robertson, Jack Lubin, Eric B. Ford, Suvrath Mahadevan, Gudmundur Stefansson, Jason T. Wright, Eric Wolf, Vincent Kofman, Vidya Venkatesan, Ravi Kopparapu, Roan Arendtsz, Rae Holcomb, Raquel A. Martinez, Stephanie Sallum, Jacob K. Luhn, Chad F. Bender, Cullen H. Blake, William D. Cochran, Megan Delamer, Scott A. Diddams, Michael Endl, Samuel Halverson, Shubham Kanodia, Daniel M. Krolikowski, Andrea S. J. Lin, Sarah E. Logsdon, Michael W. McElwain, Andrew Monson, Joe P. Ninan, Jayadev Rajagopal, Arpita Roy, Christian Schwab, Ryan C. Terrien

Corey Beard et al 2025 The Astronomical Journal 170 .

Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 10.

Two histograms highlighting the results of model comparisons on simulated data sets. After generating 200 fake one-planet and 200 fake two-planet data sets, we performed nested sampling fits for one- and two-planet models, and computed the difference in BF. When the fake data include only one injected planet, it is very rare that a two-planet model is preferred. On the other hand, when the generated data include two injected planets, a two-planet model is often preferred, with the BF in the real data falling on the center of this distribution.

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