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NEOMOD: A New Orbital Distribution Model for Near-Earth Objects

  • Authors: David Nesvorný, Rogerio Deienno, William F. Bottke, Robert Jedicke, Shantanu Naidu, Steven R. Chesley, Paul W. Chodas, Mikael Granvik, David Vokrouhlický, Miroslav Brož, Alessandro Morbidelli, Eric Christensen, Frank C. Shelly, Bryce T. Bolin

David Nesvorný et al 2023 The Astronomical Journal 166 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 19.

The incompleteness of the known PHO population (MOID <0.05 au, H < 22). For the a, e, and i distributions, the dashed lines show the number of known PHOs with H < 22, and the solid lines are the number of PHOs with H < 22 inferred from our maximum likelihood base model (both given per bin interval; 0.1 au, 0.°04 and 4°). For the H distribution in the bottom-right panel, we show both the cumulative and differential (per 0.25 mag) distributions (upper and lower lines, respectively; solid for model, dashed for known). The uncertainty of the cumulative population estimates increases from ≃3% for H < 20 to ≃6% for H < 25. The uncertainties were obtained from the posterior distribution produced by MultiNest and do not account for various uncertainties of the CSS detection efficiency.

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