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Forecasting Catastrophe: Constraints on the Fomalhaut Main-belt Planetesimal Population from Observed Collisional Remnants

  • Authors: Arin M. Avsar, Kevin Wagner, Dániel Apai, Christopher C. Stark, Isabel Rebollido

Arin M. Avsar et al 2026 The Astrophysical Journal Letters 1000 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 10.

The posterior distribution of the emcee chain of the six parameters fit in our model for collisional progenitors with radii ≥100 km and including a smoothed/plateau surface density. The model is fit with 50 walkers, 10,000 steps, and 1000 burn-in steps. The dashed lines indicate the 16th, 50th, and 84th percentiles.

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