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A Bayesian Inference Framework for Binary Lens Events Fully Incorporating Higher-order Effects

  • Authors: Kansuke Nunota, Kento Masuda

Kansuke Nunota and Kento Masuda 2026 The Astronomical Journal 172 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 1.

Joint distributions in the physical parameter space for Event 1. Here πGal(y) denotes the Galactic model prior, π1(y) the physical-space prior induced by the weakly informative light-curve prior π1(x), and ﹩{p}_{1}({\boldsymbol{y}}| { \mathcal D })﹩ the transformed posterior obtained from the posterior ﹩{p}_{1}({\boldsymbol{x}}| { \mathcal D })\propto { \mathcal L }({\boldsymbol{x}}){\pi }_{1}({\boldsymbol{x}})﹩. The blue, orange, and red contours show these three distributions, respectively. The black dashed lines and black symbols indicate the true input parameters.

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