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Bioverse: Assessing the Ability of Direct Imaging Surveys to Empirically Constrain the Habitable Zone via Trends in Albedo

  • Authors: Noah W. Tuchow, Christopher C. Stark, Dániel Apai, Martin Schlecker, Kevin K. Hardegree-Ullman

Noah W. Tuchow et al 2025 The Astronomical Journal 170 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 3.

Histogram of Bayes factors for random samples with 25 exoEarth candidates (EECs). Blue histogram represents points drawn from a distribution with a strong injected trend in albedo (ΔA = 0.4). Orange histogram represents points drawn from a distribution without any trend in albedo. The dashed vertical line represents the threshold for strong detection of a trend at a Bayes factor of K = 10. The region of the blue histogram to the right of this threshold represents the true-positive rate, or statistical power in favor of the albedo trend model. The region of the orange histogram to the right of the threshold represents the false-positive rate.

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