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Bioverse: Assessing the Ability of Direct Imaging Surveys to Empirically Constrain the Habitable Zone via Trends in Albedo

  • Authors: Noah W. Tuchow, Christopher C. Stark, Dániel Apai, Martin Schlecker, Kevin K. Hardegree-Ullman

Noah W. Tuchow et al 2025 The Astronomical Journal 170 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 11.

Required number of simulations to constrain the true-positive rates (top panels) and false-positive rates (bottom panels). Subsamples of size ﹩{N}_{\mathrm{sim}}﹩ are drawn from a sample of 100,000 simulations, and true- and false-positive rates are calculated for each subsample. One can observe high variability for subsamples with low ﹩{N}_{\mathrm{sim}}﹩, but as ﹩{N}_{\mathrm{sim}}﹩ increases the calculated quantities converge to a given value. These simulations were from a scenario with ΔA = 0.4 and NEEC = 25. Left and right columns represent different threshold values for the Bayes factor required for detection of a trend.

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