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Feasibility Analysis of a Hypothetical Kinetic-impact Deflection of 2024 YR4 Using In-space Hayabusa2 for Earth-impact Risk Reduction

  • Authors: Kaho Nakagawa, Hiroshi Takeuchi, Takanao Saiki, Makoto Yoshikawa, Yuichi Tsuda

Kaho Nakagawa et al 2026 The Planetary Science Journal 7 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 12.

Deflection of the nominal trajectory of 2024 YR4 on the lunar B-plane for different impact efficiencies, η = 1.0, 2.0, 4.0, and 8.0, together with the no-impact case. Orbit determination epoch is 2025 May 11. The blue line indicates the 3σ uncertainty of the nominal orbit of 2024 YR4 on the lunar B-plane. The left and right panels show Case 1 and Case 2, respectively.

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