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Feasibility Analysis of a Hypothetical Kinetic-impact Deflection of 2024 YR4 Using In-space Hayabusa2 for Earth-impact Risk Reduction

  • Authors: Kaho Nakagawa, Hiroshi Takeuchi, Takanao Saiki, Makoto Yoshikawa, Yuichi Tsuda

Kaho Nakagawa et al 2026 The Planetary Science Journal 7 .

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 9.

Nominal orbit of 2024 YR4 and 3σ uncertainty region on the Earth B-plane evaluated at the impact epoch (2032 December 22, 10:30:00 UTC), based on orbit determinations as of (a) 2025 February 6, (b) 2025 February 16, and (c) 2025 May 11.

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