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Gravitational-wave Merger Forecasting: Scenarios for the Early Detection and Localization of Compact-binary Mergers with Ground-based Observatories

  • Authors: Alexander H. Nitz, Marlin Schäfer, and Tito Dal Canton

2020 The Astrophysical Journal Letters 902 L29.

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 2.

“Design” era (2021–2022) detection and localization for the HLV network (left) and the full gravitational-wave detector network (right) as a function of time before merger for a fiducial 1.4–1.4 ﹩{M}_{\odot }﹩ BNS merger. (Top) The sky-averaged detection range for the idealized search and PyCBC Live operating at a false-alarm rate of once per year. (Middle) The upper limit on the localization sky area and source distance, respectively, for detectable sources. Sky areas are quoted at the 90% credible level. (Bottom) The detection rate of all sources (black) and those that also have a sky localization less than 1000 deg2 (blue), 100 deg2 (orange), 10 deg2 (green), or 1 deg2 at a 90% (solid), 50% (dashed), and 25% credible level (dotted).

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