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Hierarchical Bayesian Atmospheric Retrieval Modeling for Population Studies of Exoplanet Atmospheres: A Case Study on the Habitable Zone

  • Authors: Jacob Lustig-Yaeger, Kristin S. Sotzen, Kevin B. Stevenson, Rodrigo Luger, Erin M. May, L. C. Mayorga, Kathleen Mandt, and Noam R. Izenberg

2022 The Astronomical Journal 163 140.

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 2.

Standard deviation among the spectra shown in Figure 1 with varying CO2 (black) compared with the 1σ observational uncertainties for 10 (magenta) and 100 (orange) stacked transits of TRAPPIST-1e with JWST’s NIRSpec Prism. The spectroscopic differences caused by the silicate weathering CO2 trend are less than 10 ppm for Earth-sized exoplanets transiting TRAPPIST-1, indicating that approximately 100 stacked transits may be necessary to clearly resolve the deviations in CO2 mixing ratios across HZ instellations.

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