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Type Ia Supernova Colors and Ejecta Velocities: Hierarchical Bayesian Regression with Non-Gaussian Distributions

  • Authors: Kaisey S. Mandel, Ryan J. Foley, and Robert P. Kirshner

Mandel, Foley, & Kirshner 2014 The Astrophysical Journal 797 75.

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 7.

Top: conditional probability density (Equation (A1)) of the apparent color at each value of the velocity for an assumed linear intrinsic color–velocity trend μC(v) with slope of b = −0.02 mag (103 km s−1)−1 (blue line) and an average dust reddening of τ/RV = 0.1 mag. The solid red line is the color of the peak of P(O|v), and the dashed red lines are the 2.5% and 97.5% quantiles of P(O|v). This is shown for the residual intrinsic scatter of σC = 0.05 mag (left) and σC = 0.1 mag (right). Bottom: the joint probability density P(O, v) = P(O|v)PV(v), assuming a gamma distribution for the marginal velocity distribution PV(v). The equiprobability density contours approximately enclose 68%, 95%, and 99% of the joint probability. For small values of the residual intrinsic scatter σC, the conditional and joint distribution of the color and velocity are more asymmetric around the apparent mode (solid red line) and the intrinsic mean (solid blue line). Furthermore, the "blue edge" of the apparent color distribution is more squashed.

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