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Type Ia Supernova Colors and Ejecta Velocities: Hierarchical Bayesian Regression with Non-Gaussian Distributions

  • Authors: Kaisey S. Mandel, Ryan J. Foley, and Robert P. Kirshner

Mandel, Foley, & Kirshner 2014 The Astrophysical Journal 797 75.

  • Provider: AAS Journals

Caption: Figure 3.

Illustration of the intrinsic color distribution P(C) implied by the Si II velocity distribution PV(v) and an assumed linear relation between the mean intrinsic color and velocity. Bottom left: the Si II velocity distribution is a gamma distribution with a long tail toward high velocities. Top left: the red solid line is a mean linear relation with slope b = −0.03 mag (103 km s−1)−1 and intercept at v = −11, 800 km s−1 of c0 = −0.10 mag, with a residual intrinsic scatter of σC = 0.02 mag (red dashed). The blue solid line is a mean constant relation with zero slope and some intrinsic scatter (blue dashed). Top right: with zero slope (blue line), the implied marginal intrinsic color distribution is Gaussian. With nonzero slope (red line), the intrinsic color distribution has a skewed distribution with a tail toward redder intrinsic color. The intrinsic mean and variance for the blue-line model were chosen so that the resulting red curve and blue curve P(C) distributions would match in mode and variance. The model with the strong linear trend implies a non-Gaussian intrinsic color distribution P(C) with a longer red (positive) tail and a shorter blue (negative) tail than the model with no trend.

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